Melbourne Cup 2022 weather forecast, thunderstorms, track conditions: can it be canceled?

Melbourne Cup in the rain? Sat is not like that.

A freezing, wet blast is approaching Melbourne for Carnival week and Cup Day appears to be the worst of the lot.

Unfortunately for any of the more than 100,000 punters heading to Flemington on Tuesday, it will be wise to pack an umbrella.

You may also want to swap heels for rubber boots.

Showers, cold and even hail are expected.

There have been terrible days in the Cup over the years, remember 2017?

It was a miserable 14 degrees at 3pm as the race jumped.

It is not doing much better for 2022 from a heat perspective and as for rain we could be looking at more water than in 2017.

According to experts, we are about seven degrees lower than the annual average.

“It will be a very cold and occasionally rainy week, with temperatures five to six degrees lower than average for the time of year, much more typical of August,” said Weatherzone meteorologist Brett Dutschke.

“There will be enough rain ahead of the cold outbreak to make the track at least soft, possibly heavy.

“Likewise, the grassy expanses of Flemington’s lawn may tend to mottle muddy and gobble up high heels.”

The Cup Day temperature fluctuates between 13 and 15 degrees.


It would be a long time before the Melbourne Cup match was postponed with visibility and lightning, the only reasons the jockeys wouldn’t race.

Flemington’s Super Saturday meeting in March 2010 was abandoned due to a storm following the execution of the Newmarket Handicap.

The Australian Guineas and the Australian Cup were organized in the meeting on the following Saturday.

A Melbourne Cup has never been abandoned.

In 1976 a storm hit Flemington, but the race was still held with mud encrusted jockeys.

Racecallers were unable to identify the runners until the final stages.

But jockeys these days have a greater respect for safety issues and often vote to drop out of meetings for visibility reasons.

The other reason the matches were abandoned was because of the strong wind.

Originally released as Melbourne Cup 2022 weather forecast, rain storm: Could bad weather cancel the race?