Rosehill races: Brad Davidson’s tips and extended preview

The extra distance should pave the way for Skyman to win the McKell Cup, says form analyst Brad Davidson.Sky Racing’s form analyst Brad Davidson runs the rule over every race, including suggested bets, for the Randwick meeting on Saturday.The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!ROSEHILLTrack: Good 4. Rail: +6mR1: ATC BOOKMAKERS RECOGNITION DAY HANDICAP (1400m)Overview: This looks a nice race for Osipenko and he was pretty impressive on debut here two weeks ago. The 1400m should be no concern. Kibou was also impressive on debut at the midweeks but he has to go 1100m to 1400m here and that’s some concern. Razeta and Lunar Shoes on the next line.BETTING ADVICE: Osipenko to win.R2: HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200m)Overview: Open TAB Highway as is the norm for this style of race. Two Ya Got, Devine Miss, Lady Mofeed, Hurn Court, Just Strolling, Who But Roo, Blow Dart, Proverbial and Summer Glow can all win this and the chances don’t end there.BETTING ADVICE: Very open. Include Lady Mofeed in multiples at big odds.R3: MIDWAY HANDICAP (1500m)Overview: Harvey’s Way ran well in this grade last start and he was a month and a half between runs as well. He does get a swing in the weights on French Bonnet here and that could be enough to turn the tables on that galloper. French Bonnet draws wide but she has the speed to overcome the gate and she has to be right in this again. Just Business and Oakfield Prince on the next line.BETTING ADVICE: Harvey’s Way looks the horse to beat with the weight swing.R4: FURPHY HANDICAP (1800m)Overview: Willinga Rufio was ultra impressive at this track a fortnight ago and he just has to replicate that on drier ground now. Naval Seal has been racing well in Victoria and he just has to run out 1800m to give this a shake. African Daisy, Kopangi, Dhakuri and The Catch (three from three this campaign) all have each way claims.BETTING ADVICE: Not much between Willinga Rufio and Naval Seal.R5: ROGER NORTON HANDICAP (2000m)Overview: I think this race is a bit more open than the market gives it credit for. Obviously Arapaho has a great chance but he does look a bit short in early betting considering he has to lump the big weight (even after the claim). Cognac has been racing well up north but is struggling to win, while Colour Sargeant, Black Queen, Bazooka and King Of Clubs are all capable of winning this.BETTING ADVICE: Open race this. Black Queen is as good a chance as most up in trip.R6: NSW BOOKMAKERS CO-OP HANDICAP (1100m)Overview: Glittery was pretty impressive first-up and she just needs the track to be playing fair to give this a shake. She has a nice turn of speed and should be strong late. Petulant was beaten first-up on wet ground but she will improve fitness wise. Rupertaar draws well for this track and did win a Saturday race first-up. Curtis Island has been flying but the drier track is a negative.BETTING ADVICE: Glittery on top.R7: W. J. MCKELL CUP (2000m)Overview: Skyman made up many lengths from the back last start and the step up to 2000m really suits him here. He has drawn well to be closer in the run as well. Surf Dancer was a good winner last start at 1800m but he did get all the favours all the same. Dr Drill looks third pick, while Southern France has a bit of class on his side and might be able to do something fresh here.BETTING ADVICE: Skyman to win.R8: WARREN WOODCOCK SENIOR HANDICAP (1500m)Overview: Interesting race with a host of different formlines to consider. Eaglemont brings some pretty impressive performances from Victoria recently and there’s no reason he can’t shape up here. Sibaaq was good in the Wellington Cup last start and finds another winnable race, while Wicklow was disappointing first-up but might jump out of the ground here.BETTING ADVICE: Leaning to Eaglemont.R9: ROBERT PATRICKS HANDICAP (1300m)Overview: Per Inaway got all the favours at her Australian debut but she won well all the same. She gets a smart claim here for Dylan Gibbons and maps to get all the favours again. Bella Rouge was good in Melbourne last start and the only concern is coming back 100m here. Joviality had no luck at all fresh, while Beachbreak flies fresh and might run a cheeky race at odds.BETTING ADVICE: Per Inaway the one to beat. Beachbreak is a place chance at odds.R10: BARRY COOK HANDICAP (1300m)Overview: Rubamos has trialled well leading in and he did win first up last campaign. This looks within reach. Lease sat wide first-up and kept coming. The only query is whether he needs further than 1300m second up? El Buena maps to get the favours again, while French Marine wasn’t ridden aggressively enough last start and gets another opportunity to win a Saturday race here.BETTING ADVICE: Leaning to Rubamos.Originally published as Rosehill races: Brad Davidson’s tips and extended preview