Trump’s candidate lost to Nebraska, but Trump is still winning most of his primary

The perfect 2022 approval record for former President Donald Trump is gone. After all 36 Senate, House, or Governor candidates he passed in Texas, Indiana and Ohio won the primary, Trump-backed businessman Charles Herbster lost his nomination for governor last night. of Nebraska.

The winner of the Republican primary was the regent of the University of Nebraska Jim Pillen, who took 33 percent of the vote. Herbster finished second, with 30 percent, closely followed by moderate state Senator Brett Lindstrom with 26 percent.

The race was seen as a proxy was between Trump and the establishment and the moderate wings of the GOP. And thanks to Pillen’s victory, Nebraska’s next governor will likely be someone with him deep bonds to the states political and economic settlement that has accepted the election of President Bidenrather than someone who believes China has orchestrated the coronavirus pandemic and passed January 6, 2021, in Trump’s war room. Together with the incumbent Secretary of State Bob Evnen’s winit now appears that the 2024 presidential election in Nebraska will be certified by two men who respect the democratic process.

But at the same time, this loss isn’t proof that Trump’s influence on the Republican base is slipping. Herbster was far from a perfect candidate: in particular, eight women accused him unwanted sexual advances, including groping and forced kissing. Retired Governor So Pete Ricketts attacked Herbster for allegedly moving his farm out of state and incurring higher taxes, and he shed all its weight behind Pillen (a lesson, perhaps, for other GOP elites who have influence too, when they choose to wield it). Ultimately, Trump’s approval wasn’t powerful enough to drag Herbster to victory, but his approval remains an asset in any Republican primary. Just ask Rep Alex Mooney, who decisively won the primary last night in West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District.

the elimination of one of the West Virginia House seats after the 2020 census threw Mooney in the same district as fellow Republican David McKinley, and Mooney only represented 34 percent of the new borough versus 66 percent of McKinley. But with Trump’s approval, Mooney launched on a 54% to 36% win. As a result, there will now be one less pro-democracy Republican in the House (McKinley voted for certify the 2020 elections Other investigate the attack on January 6) and also one less consensus maker (McKinley was rated as one of the most of the members of the bipartisan house and helped pass Biden’s infrastructure account).

All in all, Trump-approved candidates for the Senate, House and Governor have now won 39 of the 40 Republican primaries so far in 2022. That statistic, of course, far overestimates its impact: 33 of these 40 approvals were incumbents facing only symbolic opposition. But that means, even in relatively uncertain primaries, his picks still went 6 out of 7. This includes Mooney’s impressive wins in West Virginia, who was battling his district’s geography, and author JD Vance in Ohio, that had been languish around 10 percent in polls before Trump’s approval helped him move up to the Ohio GOP Senate primary.

There are still months of primaries to be held, so we’ll have to wait and see what Trump’s final track record will look like before drawing any firm conclusions. But right now, Trump has an impressive 86% win rate in the primary without incumbent. It is his testimony popularity continues within the party – even if he is clearly not invincible.